| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins by over 1.5 goals | 25% | 23¢ | 25¢ | — | $353 | Trade → |
| Roma wins by over 2.5 goals | 10% | 8¢ | 10¢ | — | $312 | Trade → |
| Genoa wins by over 2.5 goals | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $65 | Trade → |
| Genoa wins by over 1.5 goals | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | — | $35 | Trade → |
This market asks which goal-margin (spread) outcome will occur in the Roma at Genoa match; it matters because spread markets let traders express views about likely margins rather than just win/draw/win.
Roma and Genoa are established Serie A clubs with different seasonal roles and squad depth, so margin expectations depend on form, rotations, and match context. The market on KALSHI currently lists four outcomes, has seen modest volume ($201), and its close time is listed as TBD on the platform.
Market prices reflect the aggregate market view for each spread bucket and will update as new information (lineups, injuries, weather, etc.) arrives; interpret them as evolving signals rather than fixed predictions.
Each outcome represents a mutually exclusive goal-margin (spread) range for the match as defined on the event page; check the KALSHI market description to see the exact goal-difference buckets and their labels.
The event page lists the close time as TBD; on many sports markets the market closes at or just before kickoff, so monitor the KALSHI page for the definitive closing timestamp.
Watch confirmation of starting XIs, late injury or suspension updates, managers' team-selection comments, last-minute weather or pitch reports, and any breaking news about player availability or travel disruptions.
Head-to-head history can provide context about typical margins between the clubs, but recent form, current rosters, and immediate match conditions usually have greater short-term impact on spread outcomes.
Low liquidity means individual trades can move prices more, fills may suffer from slippage, and market-implied views can change sharply on new information; consider smaller positions or waiting for clearer signals and higher volume.