| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins by over 1.5 goals | 15% | 13¢ | 18¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Roma wins by over 2.5 goals | 6% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $156 | Trade → |
| Bologna wins by over 1.5 goals | 15% | 8¢ | 14¢ | — | $32 | Trade → |
| Bologna wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur in the Roma at Bologna match; it matters because spread markets aggregate expectations about margin of victory and can move with new information before kickoff.
Roma and Bologna are established Serie A clubs with differing recent trajectories and playing styles; head-to-head history, home advantage, and seasonal form typically shape expectations for the match spread. Match-level details such as lineups, injuries, and tactical choices often shift which spread outcome is most plausible as kickoff approaches.
Market prices on this market represent the consensus view of traders about which spread range will occur and update as new information arrives; treat them as a real-time signal of market sentiment, not a guarantee of the final result.
This market lists four mutually exclusive spread outcomes that divide possible margins of victory or which side covers the spread; each outcome corresponds to a different range or side advantage, so selecting one means you expect the final margin to fall inside that outcome's defined range.
The market close is listed as TBD for this event; typically spread markets close at or shortly before kickoff, but the exact time determines when no further information can be incorporated and when positions are locked, so check the KALSHI market page for the confirmed close time.
Key absences or unexpected starters can materially change expected goal margins—losing a primary scorer or a defensive anchor shifts which spread outcomes are plausible—so lineup announcements commonly drive rapid price adjustments in the spread market.
Price moves reflect new information and changing trader sentiment; sharp moves near kickoff often incorporate late team news, weather updates, or large bets, while steady prices suggest consensus; consider volume accompanying moves to judge conviction.
Low total volume indicates limited liquidity, meaning prices may be driven by a few trades and can change abruptly with new activity; use discretion when interpreting consensus from thinly traded markets and expect wider price swings as more bets arrive.