| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the first set in the Roberto Bautista Agut vs Karen Khachanov match. First-set outcomes are useful for traders and viewers because they reflect early momentum and can shape in-play strategies.
Bautista Agut and Khachanov bring contrasting games: Bautista Agut is typically a consistent baseline retriever who relies on timing and low error counts, while Khachanov is a power-oriented player with a big serve and heavy groundstrokes. Surface, recent form, and match scheduling often have outsized effects on the opening set compared with later sets.
Market prices represent the collective expectation about who will take the first set and should be used alongside match facts (surface, head-to-head, fitness) and live updates when making decisions.
The market typically closes at or shortly before the first set begins; check the KALSHI platform for the exact close time and any updates if the match start is delayed.
The Set 1 Winner is the player officially recorded as winning the first set on the scoreboard; a tiebreak winner counts as the set winner if the set reaches 6–6.
If play stops during the first set, settlement follows the match organizer's official result and KALSHI's rules; consult the platform's settlement policy for how incomplete sets, retirements, or suspensions are treated.
Focus on recent first-serve percentage, return points won, break points saved and converted, head-to-head results on the same surface, and any injury or conditioning reports available before the match.
The player who wins the tiebreak is the official first-set winner and the market will settle to that player; if the tiebreak or set is not completed due to external factors, follow KALSHI's official settlement guidance.