| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Bautista Agut wins 2-0 | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Roberto Bautista Agut wins 2-1 | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack Draper wins 2-0 | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack Draper wins 2-1 | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which exact final score will occur in the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Jack Draper; it matters because exact-score contracts pay only if the match ends with the specified set score, offering precise outcome exposure for traders and bettors.
Roberto Bautista Agut and Jack Draper are professional men's tour players whose match-up pits a typically consistent, counterpunching baseliner against a younger, power-oriented player with a strong serve. Recent form, fitness, and the tournament context shape expectations for set lengths and whether the match is likely to finish in straight sets or require a deciding set.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of participants and update as new information (injuries, withdrawals, weather, lineup announcements) arrives; treat them as a dynamic summary of current beliefs rather than a fixed prediction.
The market offers four outcomes corresponding to each player winning in straight sets and each player winning in three sets (i.e., winner in two sets or winner in three sets).
The event page shows the market close as TBD; typically the market will close at or before the scheduled match start or earlier if the exchange decides, so check the KALSHI market page for real-time closing information.
Settlement will be based on the official final score reported by the tournament or an authorized data provider; the exact-score outcome that matches the official result wins and all other outcomes lose.
Platform-specific rules apply: markets are usually suspended during postponements and settled only after an official result exists; if the match is cancelled with no official result, the exchange’s rules determine whether the market is voided or otherwise handled—refer to KALSHI’s event rules for this market.
Watch for early service breaks, obvious physical issues or medical timeouts, momentum swings (long games or comebacks), on-court conditions (e.g., slowing court or wind), and confirmed lineup or withdrawal notices—these typically shift expectations between straight-set and three-set outcomes.