| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Submission | 38% | 33¢ | 37¢ | — | $30 | Trade → |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 0% | 16¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Decision | 0% | 50¢ | 55¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Draw | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the fight between Ricky Turcios and Alberto Montes will end — by knockout/TKO, submission, decision, or another official result. Method-of-finish markets matter because they let traders express views about fighter styles and in-fight dynamics rather than just who will win.
Both fighters' recent form, finishing history, and stylistic matchups (striking vs. grappling emphasis, durability, and cardio) are the primary background factors that drive expectations for method of finish. The market is hosted on Kalshi with four outcomes and currently shows no trading volume; the market close time is listed as TBD, so final scheduling and official fight details will affect resolution.
Market odds reflect how participants collectively view the relative likelihoods of each method of finish and will move as new information appears (injury news, weigh-ins, lineups, or live betting flows). Treat odds as a real-time consensus signal, not a definitive prediction, and verify official results after the bout for settlement.
The market lists four mutually exclusive method-of-finish outcomes; commonly these are labeled KO/TKO, Submission, Decision, and Other/No Contest. Check the event page for the precise outcome labels used for settlement.
The event page currently shows the market close time as TBD. Most exchanges close markets at the official start of the bout or at the time designated by the platform, so monitor the Kalshi event page for the finalized close time.
Resolution depends on Kalshi's platform rules: common outcomes are voiding the market with refunds if the bout is canceled, or following platform policy if a replacement changes the event materially. Check the exchange's resolution policy and any event notices for specifics.
Late injury or illness reports, missed weight or severe weight-cut issues, last-minute opponent changes, and credible information about a fighter’s camp or strategy (e.g., working heavily on takedowns or submissions) are the most market-moving developments.
Settlement is based on the officially reported result from the event organizer or the relevant athletic commission as recognized by Kalshi. If a result is later overturned by the commission, the platform’s stated resolution rules will govern any adjustments.