| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilbao | 20% | 16¢ | 20¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Real Sociedad | 81% | 80¢ | 81¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Real Sociedad or Bilbao — will advance from their tie; it matters because advancement decides progression in the competition and drives short-term trading interest.
Real Sociedad and Bilbao (Athletic Club) are long-standing Basque rivals who meet frequently in league and cup competitions; knockout ties between them are often tightly contested and emotionally charged. The outcome determines which side continues in the tournament and can affect momentum for the remainder of the season.
Market prices reflect traders' aggregated expectations about which side will advance at the time of trading and update as new information arrives. They are not guarantees but a snapshot of market sentiment relative to available information.
The market presents two mutually exclusive outcomes: Real Sociedad advances or Bilbao advances; only the officially declared advancing team will determine the winning outcome.
Resolution follows the event's official outcome as declared by the competition organizers; the market close time is listed on the event page (currently TBD), so monitor that page for updates.
Most 'to advance' markets use the competition's official determination of the advancing side, which typically includes extra time and penalties where applicable; check the event rules on the market page for confirmation.
Late developments can move market prices quickly because they materially change each team's prospects; traders should watch official team news and live match events for rapid price changes.
Resolution in those scenarios depends on the platform's event rules: markets may be suspended, voided, or resolved after an official competition decision; consult the market's rules and announcements for the specific handling.