| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America | 51% | 50¢ | 51¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Queretaro | 24% | 23¢ | 24¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Tie | 30% | 27¢ | 28¢ | — | $143 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will win the Queretaro vs América match (home win, draw, or away win) and matters to traders who want to express views on the match outcome or hedge exposure to Mexican club soccer results.
Queretaro and Club América are Mexican professional clubs with differing recent trajectories and resources; América is historically one of the country's most successful clubs while Queretaro has had more variable results. The match can be part of Liga MX, a domestic cup, or a friendly depending on scheduling, and its competitive stakes (league points, cup progression, or preparation) will shape team motivation.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants and will move as new information arrives (injuries, lineups, weather, or official announcements). Use changes in price as real-time signals of how the market is updating, and always cross-check with official match information before acting.
The market close time is listed on the event page and may be set shortly before kickoff; the current status says 'Closes: TBD', so check the KALSHI event page for the official close time and any updates.
The three outcomes correspond to a Queretaro win, a draw, or an América win as defined by the official match result recorded by the competition organizer. Confirm on the event page whether settlement uses the result at the final whistle or includes extra time/penalties for the specific competition.
Settlement follows KALSHI's event rules: commonly, if the match is not played or completed within a specified window the market may be voided and funds returned, or it may be settled according to official rescheduled results. Check the platform’s resolution policy and the event page for updates in these situations.
Watch official injury reports, suspension lists, international call-ups, and the confirmed starting XI announcements (often released one hour before kickoff). Key absences—such as a regular starting goalkeeper, top scorer, or central defender—can have outsized impact on expectations.
Venue matters: the home team benefits from familiar pitch and crowd support, while travel, surface type, and local altitude or climate can affect visiting teams. Verify which stadium is hosting the match on the event page and factor venue-specific considerations into your assessment.