| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue | 84% | 83¢ | 84¢ | — | $37K | Trade → |
| Northwestern | 17% | 16¢ | 17¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
This market gauges which team will win the upcoming Purdue at Northwestern game and matters because it aggregates trader expectations ahead of the game. It provides a real-time signal that responds to news such as injuries, lineup changes, and late developments.
Purdue and Northwestern are conference opponents whose matchups are shaped by recent form, head-to-head history, and contrasting roster strengths. Key pregame inputs include official injury reports, starting lineups, and any schedule or weather updates that affect game conditions.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of available information at any moment and will move as new facts emerge; treat them as a live consensus signal rather than a fixed prediction. For final outcomes, the market resolves to the official game result according to KALSHI's resolution rules.
The close time is listed as TBD on the market; typically KALSHI markets close at or just before the scheduled start of the game, so check the market page for the official close time and any updates.
There are two outcomes corresponding to which team wins the game: Purdue wins or Northwestern wins. The market resolves to the official final result as determined by the relevant league and KALSHI resolution policy.
Watch official injury reports, coach media availability, announced starting lineups, any suspensions or late roster moves, and team travel notes for both Purdue and Northwestern—these items often move the market.
Northwestern’s home status influences crowd effects, travel demands on Purdue, and familiarity with local conditions; home advantage is one of several factors traders weigh alongside injuries and matchup dynamics.
Common catalysts are injury report releases (usually within 24–48 hours), official starting lineups (hours before the game), late-breaking roster news or coach statements, and any game-day weather or logistical updates up until market close.