| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Springfield Thunderbirds | 33% | 9¢ | 34¢ | — | $57 | Trade → |
| Providence Bruins | 76% | 67¢ | 70¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
This market lets participants take positions on which team wins the Providence Bruins vs Springfield Thunderbirds matchup; it aggregates public information and matters to traders who want to express views on AHL game outcomes or hedge exposure to team performance.
Both clubs are American Hockey League franchises that serve developmental roles for their respective NHL affiliates and frequently see roster turnover from call-ups and assignments. Games between them are shaped by development priorities, goaltending opportunities, and scheduling, and can carry regular-season or playoff implications depending on timing.
Market prices reflect collectively updated expectations as new information (injuries, roster moves, official lineups, travel) becomes available; treat prices as one input alongside scouting reports, special-teams metrics, and goaltender form.
The market offers two mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to each team winning the game; check the market page for the exact outcome labels and any additional settlement notes.
The close time is listed as TBD; KALSHI will post a definitive close prior to the scheduled puck drop, so monitor the market and team news feeds in the hours leading up to the game for lineup and timing updates.
Call-ups and assignments can change top-six forward roles and the goaltending situation, materially altering matchup strength; track official transaction reports and morning skates because AHL rosters are often adjusted shortly before games.
Settlement follows KALSHI's official rules and the league's official final game result; unless the market specifies otherwise, the official final outcome (including overtime or shootout results) determines the winner—confirm the market's settlement text for specifics.
Head-to-head history can highlight matchup tendencies and coaching patterns, but due to high roster turnover in the AHL, recent-season data, current injuries, and goaltender status are usually more predictive than older results.