| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Liverpool M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the listed outcomes will occur in the Progreso vs Liverpool M soccer match; it matters because it aggregates trader beliefs about the likely match result and provides a way to trade that view.
Progreso and Liverpool Montevideo are Uruguayan clubs that meet regularly in domestic competitions; their relative strength, recent form, and squad availability in the lead-up to the fixture shape expectations. The market captures live information — such as lineups, injuries, and match stakes — that bettors and fans use to update predictions in real time.
Market prices represent the collective view of traders on each outcome and move as new information arrives; interpret them as a dynamic snapshot of sentiment, not as immutable forecasts.
The market lists three outcomes (check the market page for labels); in football markets that typically corresponds to a Progreso win, a draw, and a Liverpool M win — confirm the outcome names and resolution details on KALSHI's event page.
The market close time is listed as TBD; on KALSHI, markets usually specify a close timestamp on the event page and commonly close shortly before kickoff, so check the market page for the exact closing time before placing trades.
Resolution rules vary by market — many match-result markets resolve on the result at the end of regulation (90 minutes plus stoppage) unless the market description specifies otherwise; if the match is postponed or abandoned, KALSHI's market rules will indicate whether the market is voided, adjusted, or resolved later, so review the event's terms.
Key movers include confirmed starting lineups, late injuries or suspensions, goalkeeper confirmations, weather or pitch issues, referee appointments, and large trades or shifts in betting volume; these items change perceived probabilities and drive price movement.
Head-to-head history provides context on matchup patterns and psychological edges, but it should be combined with current-season form, recent squad changes, and immediate news — markets tend to react more strongly to recent, actionable information than distant historical results.