| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jared Goff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dak Prescott | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drake Maye | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sam Darnold | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trevor Lawrence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Burrow | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Caleb Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bo Nix | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Justin Herbert | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Baker Mayfield | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Allen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Patrick Mahomes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan Love | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacoby Brissett | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aaron Rodgers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jalen Hurts | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cam Ward | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daniel Jones | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| C.J. Stroud | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Geno Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bryce Young | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lamar Jackson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Shough | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brock Purdy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shedeur Sanders | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jayden Daniels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Malik Willis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will finish the season with the most regular-season passing yards in professional football. It matters because it aggregates market expectations about player performance over an entire season and is relevant to bettors, fantasy players, and analysts tracking quarterback outcomes.
Historically the passing-yards leader is almost always a starting quarterback on a team that emphasizes the pass; names like Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, and Tom Brady have led in past seasons. Modern trends — a pass-heavy league, expanded 17-game regular season, and offensive rule interpretations that favor passing — have generally pushed season totals higher than in earlier decades.
Market prices reflect the collective view of participants about each listed player's chances and update as news (injuries, trades, role changes) arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal of changing expectations rather than a static forecast.
The close date is listed as TBD on the event; the market page on KALSHI will display the official close time once set and may provide platform notifications or emails when it is updated.
Each of the 28 outcomes corresponds to a specific player named in the contract as a candidate to finish with the most regular-season passing yards; consult the event page for the complete list of named players for this market.
Tie-breaking and settlement procedures are defined in the market’s official rules on KALSHI; check the contract specification for this event to see how ties are handled and how settlement is calculated.
Such events change the underlying likelihoods and are incorporated by the market via updated prices; the contracts themselves remain live until settlement and any extraordinary situations are governed by the exchange’s settlement rules in the event specification.
Watch indicators like projected pass attempts per game, durable starting role, offensive coordinator tendencies, quality and health of receiving targets, offensive line stability, and the season schedule (including weather-prone stretches and opponent pass-defense strength).