| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryn Peterson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AJ Dybantsa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cameron Boozer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nate Ament | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Cenac Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Caleb Wilson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kingston Flemings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which player will be selected as the Pro Basketball #1 overall pick in the upcoming draft. The first pick is a high-profile, franchise-altering choice, so the outcome carries major roster and media implications.
The #1 overall pick is determined on draft night after the draft order is set by the league’s lottery and any pre-draft trades; teams frequently make strategic decisions or multiple trade calls in the run-up to the draft. Historically, top picks have varied between instant superstars and long-term projects, and last-minute developments — medical reports, workouts, team meetings and trade activity — routinely reshuffle the front-runners. This market aggregates those signals from public reporting and trader expectations.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s view of which of the five listed players is most likely to be chosen first and will change as new information arrives; they are not guarantees but a dynamic synthesis of visible news, leaks and trade activity.
The market resolves when the league publicly announces the official #1 overall selection on draft night; the announced player name is the settlement outcome. The market page will show the final close time and any resolution notes once the league confirms the pick.
This market lists five specific player outcomes, each representing a particular prospect being selected #1 overall. Consult the market page for the current list of named outcomes and any changes made before resolution.
If the #1 pick is traded before the official announcement, the outcome still resolves to the player actually chosen first on draft night; trades change which team is selecting and can materially alter which player is most likely to be picked, often causing rapid market movement.
Material movers include official lottery results, credible insider reports of team preferences or deals, medical updates, standout combine or workout performances, and confirmation of trades or coaching/front-office comments; timing-sensitive leaks on draft day are particularly influential.
If a listed prospect withdraws or is declared ineligible before the league announces the #1 pick, the market will still resolve to whichever player is officially announced as the #1 pick. Exchanges may update listings or apply market-specific rules in such cases, so check the market’s rules and updates for details.