| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Milwaukee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colorado | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago C | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arizona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York Y | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles D | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pittsburgh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| St. Louis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Diego | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Detroit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tampa Bay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Minnesota | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atlanta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| A's | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| San Francisco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago WS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Baltimore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles A | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which Major League Baseball team will finish the regular season with the worst record among the 30 teams. It matters because it aggregates market expectations about team performance, injuries, roster construction, and front-office decisions over the season.
Each outcome in this market corresponds to one of the 30 MLB clubs; the market will ultimately resolve based on official regular-season standings for the season specified by the contract. Historical context matters: teams that have recently rebuilt, experienced payroll cuts, or lost key pitchers or hitters are commonly among candidates for the worst record, while late rebuilds or surprise prospect breakouts can shift expectations during the season.
Market prices reflect collective trading about which team will finish last, but should be interpreted as a snapshot of sentiment and information at a moment in time rather than a fixed prediction. For resolution specifics (timing, tie rules), consult the market contract because this determines exactly how the outcome is decided.
The 'worst record' refers to the official regular-season win–loss standings for the MLB season specified in the market contract; only games counted in MLB's official standings for that season are used for resolution.
Each of the 30 outcomes corresponds to one MLB team; an outcome labeled with a team name wins if that team is determined to have the worst regular-season record under the market's resolution rules.
Although the close time is listed as TBD, resolution typically occurs after the conclusion of the MLB regular season once official standings are published; check the contract or market page for the exact closing/resolution timestamp when it is posted.
Tie resolution depends on the market's specified tie-breaking procedure—some markets follow official MLB tie-break rules, others use contract-specific rules—so verify the market's resolution language to know how ties are handled.
Track run differential, starting rotation ERA and innings, bullpen performance, injury reports, trades at the deadline, prospect promotions, front-office statements about rebuilding, and short-term schedule strength and head-to-head matchups.