| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Garrett Crochet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paul Skenes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dylan Cease | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bryan Woo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Sale | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob deGrom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Framber Valdez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunter Brown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| George Kirby | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cole Ragans | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Blake Snell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Gilbert | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunter Greene | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spencer Schwellenbach | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brandon Woodruff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Gausman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Freddy Peralta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ranger Suarez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sonny Gray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spencer Strider | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matthew Boyd | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Pivetta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zac Gallen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Merrill Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carlos Rodon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luis Castillo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Ryan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tanner Bibee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sandy Alcantara | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trevor Rodgers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aaron Nola | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drew Rasmussen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Glasnow | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brayan Bello | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nolan McLean | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zack Wheeler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cam Schlittler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Robbie Ray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cade Horton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shota Imanaga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrew Abbott | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will finish the season as the Pro Baseball wins leader; it matters because it aggregates market expectations about season-long performance, health, and usage. It offers a way to trade on which pitcher will accumulate the most official wins under the event's settlement rules.
Background: the wins leader title is typically decided over a full professional season and has historically favored durable, regularly started pitchers who receive consistent run support and innings. This Kalshi event lists 50 outcomes (one per listed player) and will settle according to the exchange’s stated rules and the official statistics source they designate. Because the market closes date is listed as TBD, timing for final settlement may follow league schedule updates or an announced closing date from the platform.
Interpretation: market prices reflect traders' collective view of who is most likely to finish with the most official wins; price movement reacts to roster changes, injuries, rotation moves, and public news. Use prices as dynamic signals of changing expectations rather than fixed predictions.
The event page currently shows the market closing time as TBD. Kalshi will announce a specific close date and the official settlement timing on the event page; settlement typically follows the end of the relevant season or the predefined cutoff described in the market rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a single named player listed by Kalshi. The market settles to whichever listed player meets the event’s settlement condition (the player recorded the most official wins) according to the official stats source specified in the event rules.
The season schedule determines when wins are accrued and therefore when outcomes become clearer; early-season rotation orders, off-day patterns, and length of the season all affect when traders update expectations and when the market will likely concentrate around a frontrunner.
Watch changes to a candidate’s health reports, confirmed rotation slot and number of scheduled starts, recent innings-per-start trends, team offensive performance for run support, and any roster moves that would shift usage or role.
Those events typically cause immediate price movement for affected outcomes: an injury or demotion will usually reduce a player’s market value, while a trade to a stronger offensive team or a promotion into the rotation can increase a player’s prospects. Monitor official transaction and lineup news for the fastest signals.