| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Game | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a perfect game will occur under the contract's defined scope in professional baseball; it matters because perfect games are extremely rare, making this a high-variance sports proposition that aggregates trader expectations about very low-probability, high-impact events.
A perfect game in pro baseball occurs when no opposing batter reaches base for the entire regulation game; historically such outcomes are uncommon and are influenced by pitching dominance, defense, and game circumstances. Changes in pitcher usage (e.g., pitch counts, specialized bullpens), officiating, and ballpark factors have affected the frequency and context in which no-hit and perfect-game bids arise.
Prediction market odds on this event reflect the aggregated, real-time beliefs of traders given available information (starting pitchers, weather, lineups, injuries) and will change as new information arrives; they are a consensus signal, not a guarantee of outcome.
A perfect game means no opposing batter reaches base over the entire regulation contest under the league's official rules (no hits, walks, hit-by-pitch, or reachable errors). The market resolves according to the contract's definition and the league's official scoring.
The market will settle using the official final result as recorded by the league once the suspended game is completed; the contract's settlement rules and the league's official outcome determine resolution.
If no batter reaches base for the entire game, that meets the basic perfect-game criterion; whether combined pitching counts depends on the contract and the league's official recognition, so consult the event's contract text for the market's specific rule.
Settlement follows the league's official box score and any official corrections within the timeframe and rules specified by the contract; if the league later amends scoring, the contract's resolution policy dictates whether that affects the market outcome.
The contract description on the event page lists the exact scope (which league(s), games or season dates, and any exclusions). That contract text and the listed close/resolution rules are the authoritative source for what the market covers.