| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Garrett Crochet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paul Skenes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Webb | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dylan Cease | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bryan Woo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Sale | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob deGrom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Framber Valdez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunter Brown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| George Kirby | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cole Ragans | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Blake Snell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Gilbert | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunter Greene | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spencer Schwellenbach | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brandon Woodruff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Gausman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Freddy Peralta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ranger Suarez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sonny Gray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spencer Strider | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matthew Boyd | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Pivetta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zac Gallen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Merrill Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carlos Rodon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luis Castillo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Ryan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tanner Bibee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sandy Alcantara | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trevor Rodgers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aaron Nola | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drew Rasmussen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tyler Glasnow | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brayan Bello | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nolan McLean | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zack Wheeler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cam Schlittler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Robbie Ray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cade Horton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shota Imanaga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrew Abbott | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which listed professional baseball pitcher will finish the relevant season with the lowest earned run average (ERA) among the 50 outcomes. It matters because ERA is a core measure of pitching effectiveness and the market aggregates trader views on who will outperform peers.
ERA is calculated as earned runs allowed per nine innings and is sensitive to innings pitched, role (starter vs reliever), and defensive and ballpark context. The market lists 50 specific players as possible outcomes and has accumulated a modest trading volume, indicating some liquidity but limited depth. Settlement timing is not set (Closes: TBD), so participants should monitor the market page for official rules on qualification thresholds and settlement sources.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment of traders about which listed player will end the season with the lowest ERA; use them as a relative signal rather than a definitive forecast. Pay attention to liquidity and recent trade activity to judge how informative the prices are.
It measures which of the listed players ends the specified season with the lowest official earned run average among eligible outcomes; consult the market description for the exact season, innings qualification, and the official statistic source used for settlement.
The market creator chooses the slate of 50 players, typically based on expected playing time and prominence; the market page displays the full list and any inclusion criteria or notes on selection.
'Closes: TBD' means the contract closing/settlement time has not been set by the creator; trading remains open until an official close is posted, so traders should watch for updates — uncertainty on close can increase intraday volatility and require attention to calendar events like season start, trade deadlines, and roster announcements.
Settlement typically relies on the official league statistics or a specified data provider listed in the market rules; check the event’s settlement section for the named source and any timestamp used to lock final stats.
Handling of ties and innings minima is defined in the market's settlement rules — common approaches include applying a stated minimum innings threshold before a player is eligible and predefined tie-break procedures; if the market page lacks detail, consult the exchange’s general settlement policies.