| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cal Raleigh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Kurtz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Alonso | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Juan Soto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Junior Caminero | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Olson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eugenio Suárez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Julio Rodríguez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brent Rooker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rafael Devers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jo Adell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bryce Harper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Roman Anthony | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Munetaka Murakami | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which professional baseball player will finish the season as the home runs leader; it matters to traders who follow power hitters, roster construction, and season-long performance narratives. Market prices aggregate market participants' expectations about which listed player will end with the most official home runs.
Home run leadership has been shaped by long-term trends such as launch-angle and exit-velocity approaches, changes in ballpark construction, and season length; individual winners are often elite power hitters but can emerge unexpectedly due to injuries or breakout seasons. This specific KALSHI market offers 22 listed outcomes (players) and shows total volume traded of $22,249; the market's close time is currently listed as TBD on the event page.
Market prices reflect collective sentiment and update as new information (injuries, lineup changes, trades, and performance indicators) arrives; higher trading volume typically means greater liquidity and more informative price movement. For final settlement mechanics and exact resolution timing check the market's rules and the platform's official resolution policy.
They are the 22 individual players that the market operator has specified as candidates to finish the season with the most official home runs; the market will resolve to whichever listed player is declared the official season home-run leader per the market's resolution rules.
The page currently shows 'Closes: TBD', so the platform will announce the official close time on the event page; final settlement will be based on the official season-end home run totals and the platform's published resolution criteria once the close is set.
Tie-handling is determined by the market's resolution rules on the platform; common approaches include prorated payouts, declaring multiple winners, or using an official tie-break procedure—check the market rules on the event page for the exact method.
Yes—home runs accumulated across teams during the official MLB season typically count toward a player's season total; trades do not reset a player's cumulative home-run count, though changes in ballpark, lineup, and playing time can affect future home-run rates.
Total volume traded is an indicator of market interest and liquidity: higher volume generally means more participants and easier order execution, while lower volume may indicate sparse activity and wider price movements on new information.