| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ players with a 40+ home runs and 40+ steals season | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2+ players with a 40+ home runs and 40+ steals season | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3+ players with a 40+ home runs and 40+ steals season | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a professional baseball player will record a 40 home run and 40 stolen base season in the league(s) specified by the event. It matters because a 40/40 season is an exceptionally rare combination of power and speed that has major historical and award implications.
Historically, 40/40 seasons are extremely uncommon at the highest professional level; the combination requires a unique hitter with both sustained power and frequent base-stealing opportunities. Modern trends — changes in player specialization, team strategies on steal attempts, launch-angle-driven power gains, and season length or schedule changes — all affect the feasibility of another 40/40 season.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment of participants about whether a 40/40 season will occur within the event's specified scope; prices will move as injuries, playing time, and performance news arrive. Use prices as a continuously updating signal, not as an absolute prediction, and always check the event terms for exact settlement rules.
The event covers the specific league(s) and regular season defined in the event terms on the platform; consult the official event description to confirm whether it refers to MLB only, multiple professional leagues, or another scope.
Settlement typically requires a single player to finish the specified regular season with at least 40 officially recorded home runs and at least 40 officially recorded stolen bases according to the league's official statistics; postseason totals are not included unless the event explicitly states otherwise.
Treatment of shortened or canceled seasons depends on the event's settlement rules: if the league issues official season statistics, those are usually used; if no official season is completed, the market may be voided or settled according to the platform's predefined contingencies—check the event page for details.
Stats are counted according to the official league records in scope for the event: intra-league trades count toward cumulative season totals; moving to a league outside the event's scope may exclude subsequent stats—confirm the event's league definitions.
Follow the event page for closure updates (close is listed as TBD), track players with a demonstrated mix of power and speed, monitor early-season home-run pace, steal attempt rates, sprint-speed metrics, lineup stability, and injury reports—major midseason changes will materially affect prospects.