| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ Home runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a designated professional baseball game will feature four or more total home runs. It matters to traders because home run count is driven by observable, game-level factors that can change quickly and create trading opportunities.
Home run frequency in pro baseball varies by era, league rules, ball construction, and park design; recent seasons have seen shifts in power that alter baseline expectations. Individual game outcomes are strongly influenced by matchup-specific elements—starting pitchers, hitter lineups, park and weather conditions—so this market reflects a short-term event rather than season-long projections.
Market odds represent the aggregate market view of the likelihood that the game will reach four or more homers and will move as new, relevant information arrives (lineups, weather, scratches). Treat the market as a continuously updated signal, not a guarantee of outcome.
The market counts total official home runs recorded in the designated professional game’s final box score as used by the exchange; consult the market’s detailed rules to confirm whether the exchange uses league official scorers or a particular data feed.
This specific market shows its close time as TBD; markets like this typically close before or at game start, so closure timing affects whether you can trade on late-breaking information such as final lineups or weather—check the market page for the finalized close time.
Settlement is based on the official box score or designated data provider named in the market contract—usually the league’s official scorer or an approved sports data vendor—so verify the market’s settlement source in the event details.
Removing or inserting power hitters materially alters the expected home run total for a single game; traders often react quickly to announced scratches or lineup upgrades because they change the matchup-level power profile.
Extra-inning and walk-off home runs are generally included if they appear in the official final box score and the market’s rules do not exclude them—confirm the market’s settlement rules to be certain.