| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins the 1H by over 20.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations about the point differential in the first half of the Portland vs Philadelphia game, focusing on early-game performance rather than the final result. It matters because first-half spreads reflect starting-lineup matchups, early coaching strategy, and short-term momentum.
The market isolates the first 24 minutes (halftime) outcome, a period when teams use shorter rotations and starters have the biggest influence. Matchups between Portland and Philadelphia can produce different first-half dynamics than full-game results, since bench usage, pace, and defensive focus often shift after halftime. Historical trends between these franchises provide context but must be adjusted for roster changes and coaching decisions.
Market prices aggregate trader beliefs about which first-half spread outcome is most likely and move as new information arrives. Watch price shifts around lineup announcements, injury reports, and tip-off for real-time updates to collective expectations.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; check the KALSHI event page for an official closing timestamp and monitor updates as tip-off approaches.
They represent discrete spread brackets or outcomes covering possible first-half margins (for example, different ranges of points by which one team leads at halftime); consult the event page to see the exact brackets used for this market.
Late starting-lineup news tends to move first-half spread prices quickly because starters drive early possessions; traders often adjust positions immediately after official lineup or injury reports.
Use head-to-head first-half history as contextual background, but adjust for changes in rosters, venue, and coaching—small sample sizes and season-to-season turnover can limit predictive value.
Settlement follows KALSHI's event rules: markets may be voided or settled based on the official league determination and the platform's policies. Check the event-level settlement rules on the platform for the definitive procedure.