| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | 25% | 24¢ | 25¢ | — | $41K | Trade → |
| Portland | 76% | 76¢ | 77¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
This market tracks the winner of the Portland at Memphis professional basketball game. It matters because trading activity aggregates public expectations about which team will win and reacts to game-day information.
Portland and Memphis are established franchises that meet regularly in league play; outcomes depend on matchup dynamics, coaching adjustments, and roster health. Historical head-to-head patterns, travel schedules, and where the game is played (home court) are commonly referenced context when assessing this matchup.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which team will win and update as new information arrives (injuries, lineups, game-time conditions). Treat those prices as dynamic indicators of market sentiment rather than static predictions.
This market offers two mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to which team wins the game (Portland wins or Memphis wins); settlement is based on the official final game result, including overtime.
The event listing shows the close time as TBD; the market will typically close before the scheduled game tip-off or when the platform posts a final close time—check the KALSHI market page for the definitive close and any updates.
Settlement follows the platform’s event rules: normally the official league game report determines the winner, but postponements or cancellations are handled per KALSHI’s policies (e.g., delayed settlement or voiding of contracts); consult the market rules for this event for specifics.
Late-breaking items that typically move the market include announced injuries or scratches to star players, confirmed starting lineups, changes in travel/rest status, sudden roster or coaching news, and credible reports about rotations or role adjustments.
Total volume shows the amount of money exchanged on this event and is a proxy for liquidity and trader interest: higher volume generally means tighter spreads and that prices reflect input from many participants, but volume alone does not indicate which outcome is more likely.