| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of four spread-based outcomes will occur in the Portland at Houston matchup; it matters because spread markets aggregate expectations about relative team performance and react quickly to new information.
The event is a head-to-head game between Portland and Houston; spreads reflect relative strengths, travel and rest, roster availability, and matchup advantages. Market prices for the four outcomes will move as team news, lineups, and in-season form become known.
In this context, market prices are best read as relative indicators of which spread outcome traders favor at a given moment — they change with new information and are not fixed forecasts.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific range or condition of the final margin (for example, one team covering by a certain number of points, another covering a different range); the market description on KALSHI defines the precise boundaries for each outcome.
The market close is listed as TBD; KALSHI will publish a closing time — markets of this type typically close before the game starts or at a platform-specified time, so watch the market page for the official close.
Settlement will be based on the official final score reported by the sport's governing body (including overtime if the market rules specify); the exact settlement rule is in the market description and KALSHI's settlement policies.
Late injuries and lineup confirmations can move spread outcomes quickly; monitor official team announcements, transaction reports, and the market page for updates, and be mindful of reduced liquidity near closing times.
Resolution in a boundary case depends on how the market defined its outcome ranges (inclusive vs. exclusive); consult the market's specific outcome definitions and KALSHI's rules to see whether a push, refund, or a defined outcome applies.