| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which total-runs bracket the game between Pittsburgh and New York M will finish in; it matters because total-run markets capture market consensus about offensive output and are used by traders to express expectations about scoring.
Total-runs markets are influenced by both teams' recent offensive trends, starting pitchers announced for the game, ballpark factors, and weather. Historical head-to-head scoring between Pittsburgh and New York M can provide context but each game depends heavily on the specific pitching matchups and lineup availability on game day.
Odds in this market reflect the collective view of traders about which run-range is most likely; they update as new information (pitching announcements, weather, injuries) becomes available and should be read as a dynamic market signal rather than a guarantee.
The 11 outcomes represent mutually exclusive total-run brackets that together cover the range of possible final scores; the exact numeric brackets are listed on the market page, so check the event page to see which runs correspond to each outcome.
The closure time is listed as TBD on this page; typically total-run markets close at or just before the game's official first pitch or at a platform-specified cutoff, so monitor the market page for the confirmed closing time as the game approaches.
Starting pitchers are a primary driver: prefer considering their recent ERA/xERA, strikeout and walk rates, home/road splits, and expected pitch count; a matchup with high strikeout rates tends to push expectations toward lower run brackets, while a matchup with vulnerable starters can push toward higher-run brackets.
Ballpark dimensions and microclimate (wind out vs. in, temperature, humidity) materially shift run-scoring expectations—open, hitter-friendly parks and strong outbound wind increase the chance of higher run totals, while cold, wind-in, or pitcher-friendly parks favor lower totals.
Settlement follows the platform's rules and the sport's official scoring conventions: if a game is completed under official rules, the total runs at final official conclusion determine the outcome; if the game is not completed or is declared void under the platform’s contingency rules, the market may be voided or settled per KALSHI’s stated policies—check the market page and platform terms for final settlement rules.