Pittsburgh vs New York M: Total Bases

The event page lists the close as TBD; check the KALSHI market page for the official close time. Many sports markets on the platform close at first pitch or at a platform-specified settlement checkpoint, so monitor updates before game start.

The 22 outcomes divide the full range of possible combined total bases into discrete bands (e.g., low, mid, high ranges). Each outcome corresponds to a specific band and the market settles to the band that contains the official combined total bases from the game.

Settlement is based on the official game box score as designated by the platform’s rulebook—typically the official league scorer’s box score or a named official data provider; consult the KALSHI rules for the exact source used for this event.

Lineup and pitching news are material and often move the market; traders commonly wait for official confirmations of lineups and probable pitchers before placing large bets. If a key hitter or a big strikeout pitcher is scratched, expect market prices to adjust to reflect the new expected total bases.

Relevant trends include recent head-to-head scoring levels, each team’s splits versus hand of the opposing starter, and whether the venue tends to suppress or boost extra-base hits. Also consider any seasonal shifts (early-season cold vs late-season warm conditions) that historically affect hitting at that ballpark.