Pittsburgh vs New York M: Home Runs

Typically it counts official home runs recorded in the official game box score for the scheduled contest; exact settlement definitions (e.g., whether inside-the-park homers or overturned plays count) are determined by the platform’s event rules, so check the event’s settlement terms on KALSHI for the definitive definition.

In many event designs, home runs in extra innings are included if the game is completed, but some markets settle on an official-game basis; consult the event’s settlement rules on the platform to confirm whether extra-inning homers are counted for this specific market.

Late scratches or unexpected pitcher changes can materially shift expectations because they change batter quality or pitcher home-run rates and platoon matchups; markets often move quickly after such news, so monitoring official lineup releases and injury reports close to first pitch is important.

Ballpark dimensions determine how likely fly balls are to become homers, and weather — especially wind direction and speed and temperature — affects ball carry; check forecasted conditions for the scheduled start time because those conditions are among the most influential non-player factors.

Settlement procedures vary by platform: some markets are voided if the game is not played or not made official, while others settle based on the official box score if the game is completed on a different date; review the platform’s event rules for the specific policy that applies to this market.