| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many combined runs will be scored in the first five innings of the Pittsburgh vs New York M game; it matters for traders who want to express a view on early-game scoring rather than the final result. First-five markets isolate starting pitchers and early lineup decisions, making them useful hedges or directional plays on game tempo.
The outcome depends heavily on the matchup on the scheduled game date — in particular the announced starting pitchers, early-inning bullpen plans, and lineup constructions for both Pittsburgh and New York M. Ballpark factors (park dimensions, climate) and recent team form for offense and pitching provide useful historical context when evaluating this market. Because this is a short-window market tied to the first five innings, late-game events and extra innings do not affect resolution.
Market prices reflect the collective betting community’s expectations for combined runs through five innings; interpret them as the crowd’s snapshot of the most likely early-game scoring outcomes given available information. Keep in mind prices update as new information arrives (pitching announcements, weather, scratches), so they are best used alongside live pre-game information.
The market close time is listed as TBD; typically first-five markets close before the first pitch or when lineups/starting pitchers are announced. Check the market page for the exact closing timestamp and any platform notifications.
Resolution depends on the platform’s rule set and official league determinations; many markets require an official score for five innings to resolve and otherwise void or roll outcomes per platform policy. Consult the market rules on the KALSHI page for the definitive resolution procedure.
Seven outcomes indicate the total runs range has been divided into seven distinct buckets or lines (e.g., specific run totals or ranges) that you can buy or sell; each outcome represents a mutually exclusive possible total for the first five innings.
Starting pitcher announcements and their historical first-inning and early-inning run prevention or allow tendencies are among the most influential inputs. If a starter with a track record of short outings or high early run allowance is named, it can materially change expectations for first-five scoring.
This market counts only runs scored during the first five innings; events after the fifth inning, including extra innings, do not affect the outcome.