| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether at least one run will be scored during the first inning of the Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati game. It matters because first-inning outcomes are driven by starting matchups and can move quickly in short-duration sports contracts.
First-inning scoring is influenced primarily by the announced starting pitchers, the top of each lineup, and park/weather conditions; teams and pitchers carry historical first-inning tendencies that traders watch. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati have their own roster and park characteristics that can affect run scoring, and late scratches or pitching changes are common pregame drivers of movement. The market resolves based on the official scoring of the specific game listed by the platform.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about whether one or more runs will be scored in the first inning; use them alongside game information like lineups and pitching announcements. Prices update as new information (starters, weather, scratches) arrives and as the game approaches.
The market typically resolves using the game's official box score for the first inning: any run credited in the top or bottom of the first inning counts toward resolution. If the game is suspended, canceled, or not officially scored, resolution follows the exchange's published rules for abandoned or postponed games.
The platform sets the contract's trading close time, which is usually before the game's first pitch; if the listing shows 'TBD' you should monitor the exchange for the announced deadline. Trades after the stated close are generally not accepted and the contract will resolve after the first inning is completed.
Any run recorded in the official first-inning score — including runs scored on hits, sacrifice plays, walks that force in a run, and runs ruled earned or unearned — typically counts. Consult the market's contract text for any special exclusions (some contracts rely strictly on the official scorer's recorded box score).
Check announced starting pitchers, the posted lineups and batting order, any late scratches or bullpen replacements, weather and wind reports for the ballpark, and recent first-inning performance splits for the starters and top hitters. Those items are the most common drivers of price movement.
Late scratches to the starting pitcher or leadoff batter, last-minute bullpen assignments, an unexpected starting pitcher change, or sudden weather concerns will move the market most. Early-game factors that affect the probability of runs include the leadoff hitter reaching base, an early home run, or the starter issuing multiple walks.