| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phoenix wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phoenix wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phoenix wins the 1H by over 21.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phoenix wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phoenix wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phoenix wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks how the first-half point spread between Phoenix and Boston will resolve and is designed for traders who want to express a view on the opening 24 minutes. First-half markets matter because they isolate starting-lineup matchups, early coaching strategy, and tempo before later-game adjustments.
Phoenix and Boston are NBA franchises with different offensive and defensive tendencies; matchup dynamics such as perimeter defense versus transition scoring commonly shape early leads. Historically, first-half outcomes are driven less by late-game star usage and more by starters, rotation patterns, and in-game matchups that reveal themselves immediately after tipoff. Participants watch recent team starts, head-to-head first-half trends, and situational factors like travel or condensed schedules for context.
Market prices summarize what traders currently expect about the halftime margin and update as new information arrives; they are a real-time signal rather than a fixed prediction. Interpret prices as the market’s consensus view at a moment in time, which can shift with lineup news or game developments.
It refers to the point margin at halftime relative to the market line — outcomes are determined by which team is ahead or behind at the official halftime score and whether that margin falls into the market’s settlement categories.
The event page lists the market close as TBD; the platform will publish a firm close time before trading resumes or opens, and markets for first-half outcomes typically close shortly before tipoff to allow settlement on the official halftime score.
The ten outcomes partition the range of possible halftime margins into discrete settlement categories; the final official halftime margin determines which of those ten outcomes is the winning one.
Lineup changes usually move the market quickly because they directly alter first-half expectations; traders will update views on matchup advantages, expected pace, and defensive assignments, which can materially change prices for first-half outcomes.
Yes: zero or low volume indicates limited liquidity and that the current prices may reflect little trading consensus; small trades or news can cause outsized price moves, so treat early prices as provisional until more volume accumulates.