| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 77% | 76¢ | 77¢ | — | $118K | Trade → |
| Sacramento | 24% | 23¢ | 24¢ | — | $51K | Trade → |
This market asks which team wins the Phoenix at Sacramento matchup and aggregates traders' expectations about the game's outcome. It matters because it reflects where traders place value given injuries, lineups, and other game-day information.
Phoenix and Sacramento matchups combine team styles, star-player matchups, and home-court influences that shape game expectations; both clubs' recent form, roster changes, and scheduling context are relevant even as specifics change over time. Head-to-head history and venue characteristics can provide context but do not determine a single outcome on game day.
Odds in this market represent the collective market estimate of which side will win and will move as new information arrives; they are best read as a snapshot of trader sentiment rather than a guarantee of the final result.
This market has two outcomes corresponding to which team wins the game: Phoenix or Sacramento, with settlement based on the official final result as determined by the exchange's rules.
A late injury or scratch typically causes rapid price movement as traders update expectations; the size of the move depends on the player's role, the timing of the announcement, and alternative lineup information.
Official team injury reports, announced starting lineups, in-game injury/illness updates, and reputable beat reporters or team social accounts tend to move the market fastest, followed by betting-sheet and bookmaker adjustments.
Settlement in that scenario follows KALSHI's event rules; typically the exchange will specify whether the market is voided, held open until rescheduling, or settled by alternate criteria—check the platform's official settlement policy for this event.
The market closes at the time specified by the exchange (currently listed as TBD) and is settled after the official game result is posted; monitor the event page for the announced close time and any platform notices about settlement timing.