| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 0% | 58¢ | 84¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia | 0% | 14¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Philadelphia or Cleveland — will outscore the other in the second half of their game. It matters to traders who want to isolate late-game performance rather than full-game outcomes.
Second-half markets focus on the period after halftime, so halftime events and in-game adjustments matter more than pregame expectations. Philadelphia and Cleveland have different coaching styles and rotation philosophies that often produce meaningful second-half shifts. Because the market closes relative to the game schedule, in-play information (injuries, fouls, momentum) can change expectations quickly.
Market odds summarize the aggregated view of traders about which team will win the second half and will update as new information arrives; treat them as a real-time indicator of market sentiment rather than a guarantee of outcome.
The market offers mutually exclusive outcomes for which team wins the second half (Philadelphia wins, Cleveland wins) plus an outcome to cover a tie/push if the second half ends level. Settlement is based on official league scoring for the second half only and occurs after the official end of that period.
The market's close time is listed as TBD on the event page; typically trading stops at or shortly before the second-half tip-off and the result is determined after the official second-half final buzzer using league statistics. Check the market page for the exact close timestamp once it is posted.
Key first-half events include sudden injuries or ejections, accumulation of fouls that limit starters' minutes, an unexpectedly large halftime lead or a momentum swing, and lineup or tactical changes announced at halftime — all of which can materially change second-half expectations.
If a starter is ruled out, limited by minutes, or removed due to foul trouble, that alters matchups and bench usage and can swing second-half prospects; depth and role-player performance also matter because second-half minutes often rely on bench contributions.
Tie handling follows the market's published settlement rules; many contracts treat a tied second half as a push or settle according to the exchange's specific policy, so consult the event's settlement rules on KALSHI to see whether tied outcomes are refunded or resolved another way.