| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR Maple Leafs | 56% | 55¢ | 56¢ | — | $228K | Trade → |
| PHI Flyers | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | — | $75K | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the upcoming game between Philadelphia (visitor) and Toronto (home). It matters because it captures real‑time market sentiment about the game outcome and aggregates information from many participants.
Philadelphia at Toronto is a head‑to‑head matchup between two professional teams; specifics (sport, date, starting lineups) are provided in the market listing. Historical records between the clubs, recent form, injuries, travel schedules, and venue factors all shape expectations going into the contest.
Market prices reflect the aggregate beliefs of traders and update as new information arrives; they should be interpreted as a dynamic signal of perceived advantage rather than a guaranteed prediction.
This market presents two mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to which team wins the game; check the market description for whether resolution counts overtime/penalty decisions or only regulation time.
The close time is listed as TBD on the event page; the market will typically close at or shortly before the official game start—check the KALSHI event page for updates and the listed kickoff/start time.
Traders should monitor official team announcements; the market will react as participants update positions, and final settlement follows the marketplace’s published resolution rules based on the official game outcome.
Resolution depends on the market’s rule text: many win/lose markets count the official final winner regardless of overtime, but some markets explicitly state ‘regulation only’—always confirm the specific settlement terms on the event page.
Look at recent head‑to‑head results between the teams, each team’s recent performance over the last several games, home vs. away splits, injury reports, and any tactical or coaching changes that may affect this matchup.