| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals | 48% | 46¢ | 48¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30¢ | 34¢ | — | $109 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 6¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 12¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side of the point spread the Philadelphia at Minnesota game will fall on; it matters because the spread captures expectations about the margin of victory and is the common way bettors express forecasts for game outcomes.
The market sits on a single regular-season matchup between Philadelphia and Minnesota, where home-field, weather, injuries, and recent team form historically influence outcomes. Both franchises have distinct offensive and defensive identities that shape game scripts; past head-to-head history can inform expectations but each game is strongly affected by current-season context.
Prediction market prices for a spread reflect collective expectations about the likely margin of victory — higher prices imply greater market confidence that the outcome will fall on a particular side of the line. Interpret prices as real-time sentiment indicators that update as new information (lineups, weather, injuries) arrives.
The market settles based on the official final margin of the game relative to the point spread posted for this market; outcomes depend on whether the final score covers one side, the other side, or results in a push per the operator's settlement rules.
Key items include official starting quarterback and injury reports, any late inactive lists, weather updates for the venue, and confirmed kickoff time — each can materially change expected margins and market pricing.
A late QB change typically increases uncertainty about offensive output and can shift the market because it alters expected scoring, play-calling aggressiveness, and turnover risk; magnitude depends on the replacement's experience and the offensive scheme.
The spread is ordinarily settled using the official final score reported by the league, which includes any overtime scoring unless the market explicitly states a different settlement rule.
Settlement in the event of postponement or cancellation follows the platform's market rules — common outcomes are voiding the market or delaying settlement until the game is played within a specified timeframe; check KALSHI's market rules and the market page for the definitive policy.