| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will cover the point spread between Philadelphia and Los Angeles in their upcoming matchup; spread markets matter because they focus on margin of victory rather than simply who wins. Traders use spread markets to express views on relative team strength, matchup advantages, and game-day information.
Philadelphia and Los Angeles have competed in many regular-season and postseason matchups across sports; historical head-to-head results, recent seasons, and roster construction all shape expectations going into the game. Venue (Los Angeles as listed home), travel distance, and timing relative to the teams' schedules are common contextual inputs that influence the spread.
In a spread market, prices reflect the market's aggregated expectation about which team will cover the specified margin; movements show how traders update that expectation as new information (lineups, injuries, weather, rest) becomes available. Always check the market page for the exact spread definitions and settlement rules used by the platform.
The page lists the close time as TBD; typically the spread market will close at or just before the official scheduled game start time or at a platform-specified lock time. Check the market header for updates and any last-minute changes tied to the official game kickoff/first pitch/tip-off.
Each outcome corresponds to a particular range or side of the spread as defined on the market page (for example, one side covering, the other side covering, narrow margins, or a push range). Settlement is based on the official final score and follows KALSHI’s listed outcome definitions and settlement rules—consult the event details for exact language.
Resolution follows the platform’s event cancellation and postponement policy: some markets are voided and refunded if the game is not played within a specified window, while others may settle on the rescheduled result if it occurs within that window. Review KALSHI’s terms and the event-specific notes on the market page for the governing rule.
The most impactful changes are absences of primary playmakers or defensive anchors—examples include a starting quarterback/point guard, leading scorer, or a primary defender/rebounder depending on the sport. Depth changes (bench rotations) and the availability of designated closers or special-teams players can also shift the market.
Price movement after official news reflects the market digesting verified information; sharp early moves typically indicate consensus reaction, while gradual moves can signal evolving confidence or low liquidity. Verify reports with official team sources, watch for correlated movement across related markets, and factor in whether the market has sufficient liquidity to support large trades without exaggerated swings.