| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland wins by over 11.5 Points | 59% | 57¢ | 59¢ | — | $83K | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 14.5 Points | 48% | 47¢ | 48¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 2.5 Points | 81% | 81¢ | 84¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 8.5 Points | 69% | 65¢ | 69¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 5.5 Points | 77% | 74¢ | 77¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 20.5 Points | 33% | 27¢ | 32¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 17.5 Points | 35% | 36¢ | 37¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 26.5 Points | 18% | 15¢ | 17¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 4.5 Points | 11% | 7¢ | 10¢ | — | $325 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 Points | 15% | 12¢ | 15¢ | — | $239 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 23.5 Points | 23% | 21¢ | 24¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins by over 29.5 Points | 10% | 10¢ | 14¢ | — | $135 | Trade → |
This market trades the point spread for the Philadelphia at Cleveland game, allowing participants to take positions on how many points one team will win or lose by. It matters because spread markets aggregate public information about injuries, weather, and matchup advantages that affect expected margin.
Philadelphia and Cleveland matchups often hinge on quarterback play, defensive matchups, and turnover margins; those team-level dynamics shape pregame expectations. Home-field conditions, recent injuries, and short-term scheduling (rest, travel) also provide important context for how the two teams match up. Historical head-to-head trends can matter but are typically secondary to current-season form and personnel availability.
Market prices represent the crowd's assessment of which spread outcome is most likely and will move when new information arrives. Treat the quoted outcomes as signals that update with injury reports, weather, and betting flow rather than as fixed predictions.
The marketplace shows its close time as TBD; most spread markets close at the platform-specified cutoff, commonly just before the official game start. Check the event page for the platform's final close time and any last-minute updates.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete spread ranges or specific point margins offered in the market, each representing a different potential final margin of victory or defeat. Each outcome settles based on the game’s final score and the platform’s stated settlement rules.
Late injuries typically cause rapid price movement as participants update expectations for margin; the impact depends on the injured player's role and the timing of the report. Expect the narrowest spreads to move the most when late news affects starting quarterbacks or other high-leverage positions.
Settlement follows the platform’s official rules for event disruptions. Some platforms void bets if a game is not played by a certain date, while others use league rulings or official final scores if the contest is completed. Check KALSHI’s event rules on the platform for specifics.
Monitor the official injury report, starting lineup confirmations, weather forecasts for Cleveland, and any coaching announcements about game plans or player usage. Also watch for large market trades or rapid price movement, which may reflect new public or insider information.