| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Spirit | 0% | 51¢ | 88¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Heroic | 0% | 39¢ | 88¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win Map 1 of the PGL Wallachia 2026 match between Heroic and Team Spirit. Map 1 outcomes matter because they set early momentum in a multi-map match and are commonly traded separately from match-winner markets.
PGL Wallachia 2026 is a staged competitive event where teams compete across a map pool with best-of formats; outcomes are governed by the tournament's official results and referee reports. Heroic and Team Spirit bring distinct recent histories, map preferences, and strategic approaches, so contextual factors like map vetoes, roster stability, and recent form are especially relevant to a first-map market.
Odds on this market represent the market’s consensus expectation given available information and will move as new information arrives (veto results, lineup news, injury reports, etc.). Treat odds as a real‑time signal, not a certainty, and update your view when verifiable event-specific information appears.
The market’s lock time is set by the trading platform (KALSHI) and typically aligns with the official Map 1 start time or an earlier announced lock; check the platform’s event page for the exact closing timestamp.
Settlement is based on the official match result for Map 1 as reported by the tournament organizers/referees; a win in regulation or overtime counts as a win, while forfeits or administrative decisions follow the platform’s stated settlement rules.
Verified substitutions can materially change expected performance and typically cause rapid price movement; traders should reassess based on the substitute’s experience, track record on the map, and timing of the announcement.
Platforms usually follow the tournament’s official resolution: markets may be suspended, voided and refunded if the map is not played within a defined window, or settled after the rescheduled match according to the exchange’s rules—consult the platform’s terms for specifics.
Veto results directly change the information set for Map 1: knowing which map is played lets traders use historical map-level performance, playstyle fit, and map-specific stats to reprice the market before kickoff.