| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland wins by over 1.5 goals | 45% | 43¢ | 44¢ | — | $474 | Trade → |
| Perth wins by over 2.5 goals | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $365 | Trade → |
| Auckland wins by over 2.5 goals | 18% | 21¢ | 23¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Perth wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market offers trading on the point spread (margin) outcome for the Perth at Auckland matchup, letting traders express views on how close or lopsided the game will be. Spread markets matter because they focus on margin outcomes rather than simple win/loss, which can be useful for hedging and more granular speculation.
This event covers a specific contest between teams labeled Perth and Auckland; the exact sport/format and schedule determine how margins are measured and settled. Historical context for any given meeting — including head-to-head trends, travel, and home-venue factors — can influence expectations, but check the match details and official organizers for definitive records and format rules.
Prices in a spread market represent the market’s consensus about which margin-range outcome is most likely and will update in real time as participants trade. Treat quoted prices as continuously updated signals of collective expectations, not fixed predictions.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific, predefined margin range (for example, one range favoring Perth by a certain number of points and another favoring Auckland). The market settles to whichever outcome contains the official final margin as recorded by the event’s governing authority; consult the market page for the exact range definitions.
The market's official close time is listed as TBD; typically KALSHI markets close at or just before the scheduled start of play, but the actual close time and any changes will be posted on the market page and in platform notices.
Settlement is based on the official final margin reported by the match’s sanctioning body or official scorekeeper. The market’s terms specify whether any extra time, shootouts, or special tiebreakers are included when calculating the margin—check those terms for this event.
Late roster changes and injuries can move prices quickly as traders reassess expected margins; weather delays or postponements can pause trading or lead to adjusted close/settlement rules depending on the event’s cancellation/postponement policies—monitor official announcements and the market feed.
A $40 traded volume indicates relatively low liquidity, so prices may swing sharply on modest orders or new information; consider smaller position sizes, check available depth, and be prepared for wider execution slippage in this four-outcome structure.