| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 23.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 29.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 20.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Penn wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 26.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market settles on the point-spread outcome for the first half of the Penn vs Illinois game; it matters because first-half spreads isolate early-game dynamics and are frequently traded by short-term speculators and bettors.
Penn (an Ivy League program) and Illinois (a Big Ten program) typically differ in roster depth, athletic profile, and style of play, which can create distinct first-half matchups. Historical head-to-head results vary by season, but differences in tempo, size, and bench depth often drive first-half performance.
Market prices reflect traders' aggregated expectations for the first-half point differential and update as news arrives (injuries, confirmed starters, tip time). Treat prices as a real-time consensus signal rather than a fixed prediction.
The event page lists the close as TBD; typically such markets close shortly before the scheduled game tip-off or at the exchange-specified closing time—check KALSHI for the official close update.
They correspond to a set of mutually exclusive first-half point-spread outcomes (specific point differentials or ranges). Consult the platform's outcome labels to see the exact point values each option represents.
Settlement is based solely on the official first half of regulation (the first 20 minutes in college basketball); overtime does not affect the first-half spread outcome.
Late injuries or ruled-out starters typically shift market prices quickly because they change expected first-half rotations, scoring, and defensive matchups; traders often react as soon as the information is confirmed.
Track confirmed starters, injury reports, recent first-half scoring trends for both teams, projected tempo/possessions, matchup notes (e.g., inside vs. outside strengths), and any travel/rest details—compare that information to recent market movement.