| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 54% | 52¢ | 54¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 goals scored | 77% | 77¢ | 78¢ | — | $195 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 30% | 30¢ | 31¢ | — | $122 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 goals scored | 13% | 14¢ | 15¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
This market asks which total-goals band will contain the combined score of the Paris at Lyon match; it matters because totals markets distill expectations about scoring into tradable outcomes for bettors and analysts.
Paris (commonly Paris Saint-Germain) and Lyon (Olympique Lyonnais) are established Ligue 1 clubs with a history of open, attacking fixtures that can produce a range of goal totals. The market on KALSHI currently lists four discrete total-score outcomes and has recorded modest volume traded, reflecting focused interest on this specific matchup.
Market prices represent the collective expectations of participants about likely goal totals and will move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, etc.). Treat them as dynamic market-implied signals rather than fixed forecasts; they update in real time up to settlement.
The winning outcome is the pre-defined goals band that contains the official combined number of goals scored by Paris and Lyon in the match as recorded by the competition authority at final whistle (including stoppage time where applicable).
Closure is listed as TBD on the page; typically such markets close shortly before kickoff and settle after the official match result is confirmed. Check the market page for the exact close time and the platform's settlement rules.
Announcements that change expected scoring—notably starting XI releases, key injuries or suspensions, confirmed rotations (e.g., rested stars), and weather or pitch reports—are the most common drivers of price moves ahead of kickoff.
Yes. Goals added to the official match score by the competition authority—including stoppage/added time and own goals—count toward the combined total used to determine the winning band, per the platform's settlement policy.
Use recent head-to-heads as context but weight them by relevance: prioritize matches with similar lineups, competition context, and timing. Older fixtures, major roster changes, or different managerial tactics reduce their predictive value.