| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific | 30% | 20¢ | 30¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Santa Clara | 67% | 62¢ | 76¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Pacific, Santa Clara, or neither — will be leading at the end of the first half of their matchup. First-half outcomes matter to traders and fans because they capture early-game advantage and momentum separate from final result.
Pacific and Santa Clara are collegiate programs that frequently meet in conference play; first-half performance often reflects starting lineup quality, early coaching adjustments, and matchup advantages. Historical rivalry, travel schedules, and recent form can all influence who controls the opening 20–45 minutes depending on the sport and level of play. Because this market resolves on the first-half score, it isolates short-term factors that differ from full-game expectations.
Market prices here represent the collective view of participants about which side will lead at halftime and update as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, venue). They are signals of consensus sentiment, not guarantees — tradeable information can change up to market close (Closes: TBD).
This market resolves based on the official score at the conclusion of the first half as recorded by the game’s official scorer or league. The trading close time is listed as TBD for this event; the platform may close trading just before the game start or at another platform-defined cutoff.
The three outcomes are: Pacific leading at the end of the first half, Santa Clara leading at the end of the first half, or the score being tied at the end of the first half.
If the official score at the end of the first half is tied, the tie outcome wins. Subsequent periods (second half, overtime) do not affect this first-half settlement.
Monitor official starting lineups, injury and availability reports released in the hours before tip, coaching comments about rotations, travel/rest for each team, and any venue or weather notes if applicable. Late scratches or surprise lineup changes are most likely to move expectations for the first half.
Settlement follows the platform’s published rules: typically the market uses the league’s official halftime score as the source of truth, and platform policy will specify procedures for postponements, cancellations, or corrected official scores — check KALSHI’s resolution rules for this event for the definitive procedure.