| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle wins by over 1.5 goals | 26% | 20¢ | 23¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Ottawa wins by over 1.5 goals | 38% | 36¢ | 38¢ | — | $932 | Trade → |
| Seattle wins by over 2.5 goals | 13% | 11¢ | 13¢ | — | $121 | Trade → |
| Ottawa wins by over 2.5 goals | 23% | 24¢ | 27¢ | — | $58 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread will resolve for the Ottawa at Seattle game; it matters because the spread encapsulates market expectations about the final margin and is used by traders to express views on which side will cover.
The market sits over a single head-to-head game between Ottawa and Seattle, where factors like home-ice advantage, travel, and recent form typically drive expectations. Historical matchups, roster trends, and situational context (back-to-back games, long road trips, goalie starts) give traders information they use to update prices.
Prices in a spread market indicate the market's consensus about which margin bucket is most likely and will move as new information arrives; interpret them as a summary of trader sentiment rather than a fixed forecast.
The outcome is determined by the official final margin of the game as used by the exchange; that margin is compared to the market’s predefined spread buckets to identify which outcome pays out. Check the market’s settlement rules for precise bucket definitions and tie-handling procedures.
Here, 'Spread' refers to the final margin of victory (how many goals/points one team wins by). The market is divided into outcome ranges representing different margin intervals, and traders buy the outcome they think will correspond to the final result.
Settlement typically uses the official final game score, which may include overtime or shootout results according to the exchange’s rules. Always verify the event’s specific settlement policy to confirm whether extra-time outcomes are included.
Prices can move very quickly after public lineup or starting-goalie announcements, especially in a low-liquidity market; traders often update positions immediately when those high-impact items become known.
Low volume means thinner liquidity and potentially larger price swings from individual trades; treat signals as less robust than high-volume markets and expect higher volatility and wider bid/ask spreads until more activity occurs.