| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 0% | 23¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 30¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mallorca | 0% | 0¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will be winning at the end of the first half of the Osasuna vs Mallorca match — Osasuna, Mallorca, or a draw. First-half markets matter because they focus on early match dynamics and allow traders to react to pregame news and starting lineups.
Osasuna and Mallorca are LaLiga sides with contrasting styles: Osasuna often plays a compact, counter-attacking game while Mallorca can be more direct and opportunistic on transitions. Historical head-to-heads and recent form can influence how each team approaches the opening 45 minutes, with coaches sometimes prioritizing a cautious start or an early press depending on context.
Market prices reflect the aggregated expectations of traders about who will lead at halftime and will update as information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, etc.). Treat prices as a snapshot of market sentiment at a moment in time rather than immutable forecasts.
The market resolves based on the official score at the end of the first half — the moment the referee signals halftime. If the official scoreboard lists one team ahead, that team wins; if level, the draw outcome wins.
The outcomes are: Osasuna leading at halftime, Mallorca leading at halftime, or the score being level at halftime (draw).
Starting XI changes, late injuries, or tactical switches announced shortly before kickoff can materially change expectations for the first half; markets typically react quickly when such information becomes public.
Resolution in the case of abandonment follows the platform’s (KALSHI) event rules — typically the market will be settled according to those rules, which may require an official match result or a declaration of void depending on timing and circumstances.
No. Only goals that are counted in the official match score at the referee’s halftime signal determine the first-half outcome; disallowed goals are not included in that score.