| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Osasuna wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Real Sociedad wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Real Sociedad wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point-spread outcome for the Osasuna at Real Sociedad match; spread markets matter because they capture market consensus about likely margins of victory and match competitiveness.
Osasuna and Real Sociedad meet regularly in La Liga, with Real Sociedad typically favored at home and Osasuna known for organized defensive play. Form, injuries, tactical matchups, and the location of the game (home vs away) all shape expectations for the margin by which one side might win or the match might stay close.
Market prices on the spread indicate how the market values each margin outcome relative to the others; use the platform’s quoted prices to compare outcomes and to form a view on which margins traders are emphasizing.
The market close time is listed on the KALSHI market page and is currently TBD for this event; typically spread markets close at or just before the official kickoff, so monitor the market page for the exact closure time and time zone.
Key drivers include the announced starting XIs and any late absences, the home/away context, tactical approaches that affect goal volume, recent form and head-to-head margins, and in-game incidents such as red cards or penalties that alter the likely goal margin.
Each listed outcome maps to a specific range of final goal margins (for example, a narrow win, a large win, a draw range, etc.); the market page provides the exact threshold definitions, and settlement is typically based on the official final score at the end of regulation time.
Historical head-to-head results are one input — they help identify recurring tactical advantages or psychological edges — but markets usually place more weight on current-season form, injuries, and confirmed lineups when pricing spreads.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s official market rules for scheduled sports events; outcomes are generally settled only after a completed match, and if the fixture is not played or completed within the platform’s specified window the market may be voided or handled according to KALSHI’s stated procedures — check the market rules for details.