| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alaves wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Osasuna wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Osasuna wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the margin of victory will fall in the LaLiga fixture Osasuna at Alaves using spread-based outcomes; it matters because spreads capture market consensus about how close or lopsided the match is expected to be.
Osasuna and Alaves are competing in a league match where tactical styles, recent form, and availability of key players drive expectations. Historical head-to-heads, travel and home-field advantages, and late-breaking injury or lineup news commonly shift market views for this pairing.
Market prices indicate the collective assessment of which spread outcome is most likely and will move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, in-play events). Read the outcome labels on the market page to map prices to specific margin ranges.
The market close is listed as TBD; KALSHI typically posts an official close time on the market page and many spread markets close shortly before kickoff or at a platform-specified time, so check the event page for updates.
Each of the four outcomes corresponds to a specific margin-of-victory range for this match (different bands of goal margins); the precise numerical boundaries for those bands are shown in the outcome descriptions on the KALSHI market page.
Confirmed late injuries to influential starters typically prompt immediate re-pricing, since they change expected goal margins and tactical options; markets generally react more strongly to unavailable starters than to minor fitness doubts.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s published event and settlement rules; outcomes may be voided or determined based on official competition rulings and match completion criteria, so consult the platform’s rules and official match reports for the final decision.
Goals, penalties, red cards, and clear tactical shifts (e.g., a team switching to ultra-defensive or attacking substitutions) are the events that most quickly change expected margins and thus move live spread prices.