| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which first-half spread outcome will occur between Orlando and Miami; it matters because halftime margins reflect early-game matchups, coaching choices, and momentum that can differ from full-game results.
Orlando and Miami bring distinct roster mixes and coaching approaches that shape opening-quarter strategies, rotational usage, and tempo. First-half spreads are influenced by starters, bench deployment, and short-term variance (hot shooting, quick fouls), and historical head-to-heads offer context but can be outweighed by roster or schedule changes.
Market prices show the crowd’s expectations for which spread range will hold at halftime; use them as a real-time signal while also weighing injuries, announced lineups, and matchup-specific factors.
Settlement is based on the official halftime score and the point differential at that moment; the market resolves to the outcome bracket that contains that halftime margin according to the league's official scoring.
The 10 outcomes correspond to discrete spread ranges or specific halftime margin brackets (e.g., team A up by X to Y, team B up by X to Y); the market page lists the exact bracket definitions for this event.
The listed close time for this market is TBD; typically trading closes before tip-off and the market settles after the official halftime score is posted—check the market page for final close and settlement announcements.
Late-breaking lineup and injury news can materially shift first-half expectations because they change matchups and available minutes; monitor official team reports and adjust your assessment or positions before the market closes.
Resolution will follow the platform's official rules and the league's game status; in such cases consult Kalshi's market rules and the event notes for how postponement, cancellation, or incomplete games are handled.