| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 20.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how large the point differential between Orlando and Cleveland will be at halftime, letting traders take positions on which first-half spread outcome will occur. It matters because first-half markets isolate early-game factors (starting lineups, pace, matchups) that can differ from full-game expectations.
Orlando and Cleveland are evaluated based on recent form, rotation choices, and matchup history; first-half lines often reflect which starters are expected to play and how coaches emphasize early-game strategy. Historical head-to-head results can provide context but first-half outcomes are especially sensitive to short-term events such as injuries, late scratches, and travel or rest situations.
Market prices here represent the consensus view of participants about which first-half spread outcome is most likely given available information and will move as new information (starters, injuries, lineup changes) becomes public. Treat prices as a dynamic summary of market beliefs, not a guarantee of result.
The close time is listed as TBD; typically the market will close before the scheduled tip-off or when starters are confirmed on the platform. Check the KALSHI event page for the official close time and any platform announcements.
Lineup changes and late scratches can move the market substantially because first-half outcomes depend heavily on who plays to start. Expect sharper movement when a primary starter is announced out or on the injury/availability report.
The multiple outcomes correspond to different first-half spread ranges or specific spread points being offered in the market, letting traders choose among finer-grained margins for the halftime score differential.
Use recent head-to-head first-half tendencies as context for matchup patterns (e.g., which team tends to start fast), but prioritize current-season form, injuries, and expected rotations since first-half results can vary widely with short-term changes.
Resolution procedures depend on the platform’s rules: typically markets will be voided or settled according to the event terms if the game does not reach a valid halftime result. Check KALSHI’s event rules for the precise cancellation or postponement policy.