| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side of the point spread will prevail in the Orlando at Miami game; it matters because spread outcomes summarize expectations about margin of victory and react quickly to news that affects the game.
This is a head-to-head matchup between Orlando and Miami, presented as a discrete spread market with multiple possible margin-based outcomes. Historical matchups, roster continuity, styles of play (pace, defense) and recent scheduling all shape expectations, and the market will update as injury reports, rotations, and pregame decisions emerge. The market currently lists multiple spread outcomes and its official close time is listed as TBD on the exchange.
In this context, market prices reflect the trading community’s aggregated view about which side of the spread the game will fall on; prices move as new information (injuries, rest, rotations, coaching announcements) is incorporated into expectations.
This market resolves based on which discrete spread outcome corresponds to the final margin of victory between Orlando and Miami as defined by the exchange’s outcome labels; check the market’s outcome descriptions to see how margins map to specific outcomes.
The multiple outcomes represent different margin brackets (e.g., Miami wins by a range of points, Orlando wins by a range of points, or ties/other buckets) so each outcome corresponds to a specific margin interval defined on the market page; consult the outcome legend on KALSHI for the exact bracket boundaries.
Key influences are Orlando’s primary scorers and playmakers (the starting backcourt and primary forwards such as the top scorers and ball-handlers), plus any changes to their rotation; if those players are limited or out, it meaningfully affects Orlando’s chance to cover the spread.
Home-court can provide a crowd and familiar conditions that influence the home team’s performance, rotations and late-game decision-making; it also affects travel fatigue for the visitor and can shift expectations about margin, especially in close matchups or when one team is missing key players.
The market’s close is listed as TBD on the exchange, so monitor the market page and official exchange notices for an announced close time; last-minute injuries and game-time decisions typically move prices up until the market closes, and settlements follow the exchange’s stated resolution rules based on the official final score.