| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 98% | 47¢ | 59¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 22.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 25.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which first-half point-spread outcome will occur between Oregon and Illinois; it matters to traders who want to isolate early-game performance rather than full-game results.
Oregon and Illinois represent different conferences and styles of play, so first-half outcomes often hinge on tempo, play-calling, and how quickly each team establishes advantages. Historical head-to-heads and each program's recent tendencies in opening halves can provide useful context when evaluating this market.
Market prices are an aggregate signal about expected first-half margins and will move as new information arrives; interpret odds as the market’s view of likely first-half scenarios rather than fixed predictions.
The outcome is determined by the official first-half score at halftime; each listed outcome corresponds to a specific point-differential bracket or exact margin as defined in the market details, and the outcome matching that halftime margin wins.
Each outcome covers a particular first-half point-differential or range (for example, team A by X points, team B by Y points, or range buckets); consult the market’s outcome descriptions on KALSHI to see the exact mapping for this event.
The market lists its close time as TBD; typically KALSHI will set the market to close at or shortly before kickoff or the start of the first half—monitor the platform for the official closing time and any updates before the game.
Late-breaking items that move the market include starting quarterback confirmations or changes, injury reports to key offensive or defensive players, announced game-planning tendencies (e.g., going fast/no-huddle), and any suspension or unexpected absence affecting early rotations.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s official event rules: if the first half does not reach the defined point of completion for official scoring, the market may be voided or settled according to platform procedures—check KALSHI’s event settlement policy for the definitive rule.