| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon St. | 25% | 5¢ | 11¢ | — | $521 | Trade → |
| Gonzaga | 91% | 83¢ | 93¢ | — | $110 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will be leading at the end of the first half of the Oregon St. vs Gonzaga game. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game performance and different strategies than full-game outcomes.
Gonzaga and Oregon State have different recent reputations: Gonzaga is frequently associated with efficient offense and perimeter shooting, while Oregon State is often noted for physical defense and rebounding; matchups between them can hinge on pace and perimeter defense. First-half dynamics reflect coaching strategies for opening lineups and rotations, and can diverge from final-game outcomes when teams make second-half adjustments.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders about which team will lead at halftime and update as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, live game flow). Use them as a real-time summary of market belief, not a guaranteed forecast.
The event listing shows the close time as TBD; typically a first-half market will close before the game or at the official start of the first half—check KALSHI for the exact closing timestamp for this market.
This market offers three outcomes: Oregon State leading at halftime, Gonzaga leading at halftime, or the score tied at halftime (draw).
Late changes to starters or confirmed injuries materially shift expectations because first-half markets emphasize immediate impact—losing a primary scorer or defender changes projected opening rotations and can move prices quickly.
No; this market resolves based on the official halftime score only. Second-half play and any overtime periods do not change the first-half winner outcome.
Resolution in the event of postponement or cancellation follows KALSHI's contract rules for event changes; commonly markets are voided or moved to a new scheduled game date—consult the platform’s event-resolution policy for this specific market.