| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 0% | 3¢ | 86¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon | 0% | 3¢ | 86¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market wagers on the outcome of the college head-to-head listed as "Oregon at Michigan" — essentially which team wins the scheduled game. It matters because it captures market expectations about the matchup based on team strength, injuries, and situational factors.
Oregon and Michigan are programs with distinct styles and histories; Michigan is the home team for this listing, and Oregon is the visiting team. Past meetings, season-long performance, and recent changes (injuries, coaching adjustments, or roster updates) provide context that traders use to form views.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about who will win the game; they update as new information arrives (injuries, weather, lineup changes, betting markets). Treat prices as a snapshot of current market consensus rather than final truth.
The two outcomes correspond to which team wins the scheduled game: one outcome is Oregon wins, the other is Michigan wins. Resolution follows the game's official final result, including any overtime periods per the platform's rules.
The listed close time is TBD; the market typically closes shortly before the game's official start. Check KALSHI or the event page for the exact scheduled kickoff and the platform's posted close time as it is updated.
If the game is postponed, canceled, or otherwise not played, the market will be resolved according to KALSHI's published resolution rules. Consult KALSHI's event-resolution policy for specifics on time windows and cancellation handling.
Monitor each team's starting quarterback and offensive line, key running backs and receivers, top defensive playmakers, and special teams (kicking and return units). Late injury reports and coaching announcements for these roles can materially change expectations.
Yes — playing on the road can affect travel fatigue, crowd noise, and familiarity with the venue. Consider historical home/away splits for both teams, travel distance and timing, and whether the venue or weather historically favors one style of play.