| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas wins by over 5.5 Points | 54% | 51¢ | 54¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 4.5 Points | 60% | 53¢ | 60¢ | — | $597 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 7.5 Points | 42% | 43¢ | 47¢ | — | $358 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 2.5 Points | 66% | 61¢ | 66¢ | — | $73 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 64¢ | 69¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 20¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 17¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 25¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 39¢ | 45¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 31¢ | 36¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 5¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 15¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 22¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ole Miss wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 27¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes on the point spread for the Ole Miss at Texas game, offering a way to express views on the expected margin of victory. It matters because market prices aggregate public information and react quickly to new developments that affect the likely spread.
This is a college football matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Texas Longhorns; roster composition, coaching approaches, and recent form all shape expectations for the final margin. Conference alignment, travel and scheduling, and any late injuries or lineup changes are common sources of movement in spread-focused markets.
Market prices indicate the collective assessment of traders about which spread outcomes are plausible and will move as new information arrives. Use price changes as signals of shifting expectations rather than fixed predictions.
The event page currently lists the close as TBD; final close times are set by the market operator, so monitor the KALSHI market page and official notices for the definitive cutoff (many spread markets close at kickoff or when an outcome becomes determinative).
The 23 outcomes correspond to discrete spread ranges or exact-margin buckets defined by the market (for example different point-differential intervals); view the market's outcome list on the trading interface to see the exact definitions of each bucket.
Treat credible injury and starter information as high-impact news: key absences (especially quarterbacks, offensive linemen, or star defenders) can materially shift expected margins, so adjust positions quickly after confirmations and rely on primary team sources or trusted beat reporters.
Home-field typically favors the host via crowd noise, familiarity with the venue, and reduced travel fatigue; the market prices that effect into spreads, so expect Texas’s home status to be a persistent influence unless offset by other factors such as injuries or matchup disadvantages.
Settlement follows the market’s published rules on KALSHI: outcomes are determined from the official final score and the market operator’s settlement criteria; consult the market rules for tie-handling, official sources used, and the timeline for final settlement.